On-chain analysis links two accounts with a perfect pardon-betting record to the same deposit wallet. A Columbia Law professor who advises the DOJ on insider trading says the probability of these trades occurring by chance is "virtually zero."
The Finance Ministry blocked access to all major prediction market platforms while the central bank moved to outlaw the underlying derivative contracts.
Contracts priced at 72 cents imply a 72% probability. Millions of traders set those prices in real time. That is not a poll. That is a market — and in 2026, it is one of the fastest-growing financial instruments in the world.
As of 2026, there are at least 13 federally regulated prediction market platforms in the U.S. alone — and the number is still growing. Not all of them deserve your capital. Here is what actually separates a well-structured platform from a poorly designed one.
