Wintermute Said 30% in April. The CLARITY Market Just Hit 31%.
Regulators blew the GENIUS Act deadline and CLARITY odds fell to a record 31%. Both halves of crypto's Washington trade slipped in one week.
Regulators blew the GENIUS Act deadline and CLARITY odds fell to a record 31%. Both halves of crypto's Washington trade slipped in one week.
Dropped lawsuits, new ETFs, a token taxonomy, and a joint framework with the CFTC. Paul Atkins delivered almost everything the crypto industry asked for. But prediction markets just landed on his desk as an unresolved jurisdictional fight.
Saturday started with a 297-investor Mar-a-Lago gala for the top TRUMP holders. It ended with the President evacuated from the Washington Hilton after a gunman opened fire. The token absorbed both.
A White House adviser said at Bitcoin 2026 Las Vegas that a major Strategic Bitcoin Reserve update is coming in weeks. The Lummis-Begich bill that would lock the reserve into law just got renamed and reintroduced. Polymarket still gives it a 23% chance before 2027.
After four months of stalemate, the Tillis-Alsobrooks compromise text dropped Thursday night. The Senate has until May 21 to do something with it, or the bill goes back on the shelf until 2030.
Patrick Witt told Consensus Miami the executive branch can take a 'big step forward' without waiting for Congress. But the last time Treasury was asked about buying BTC, the answer was no.
Trump Media transferred 2,650 BTC to Crypto.com on May 22, the second major outflow this year. The company originally bought 11,542 BTC for $1.37 billion. It is now sitting on a $455 million unrealized loss, and last week it withdrew its Bitcoin ETF application.
FinCEN and OFAC published a joint proposed rule on April 8, 2026 requiring payment stablecoin issuers to build bank-grade compliance programs, with a full enforcement deadline of January 18, 2027.
Ron Hammond, head of policy at crypto market maker Wintermute, is significantly more cautious than prediction markets on the CLARITY Act's 2026 prospects. Bank opposition on stablecoin yield, fluid committee timelines, and Trump-linked political headwinds are his three core concerns.
A Times investigation found WLFI partnered with AB DAO without knowing the firm had recently promoted a resort project tied to Cambodia's Prince Group, designated a major transnational criminal network by U.S. authorities.
Seven House Democrats sent CFTC Chair Michael Selig a letter demanding answers on suspicious trades tied to U.S. military actions in Iran and Venezuela. The same trades that made anonymous users hundreds of thousands of dollars in minutes.
The April 25 luncheon at Mar-a-Lago for TRUMP token holders promises the president's attendance. Problem: Trump also said he'd be at the White House Correspondents' Dinner that same day in Washington.
One wallet pulled $2.4M in TRUMP tokens from Bybit in two days as the April 25 event approaches. Senators Warren, Schiff, and Blumenthal are demanding documents on whether Trump planned, promoted, or profited from the gala.
The venture capitalist who shaped the Trump administration's crypto agenda hit his 130-day legal limit and moves to a broader advisory role. He leaves behind a stalled market structure bill, an unbuilt Bitcoin reserve, and a crypto industry asking who fills the gap.
SEC Chair Paul Atkins confirmed on April 6, 2026 that 'Regulation Crypto Assets' is at OIRA — the White House's regulatory review office — awaiting sign-off before public comment opens. The proposal creates three safe-harbor pathways, reclassifies most crypto assets as non-securities, and introduces the first structured fundraising framework for blockchain startups under U.S. federal law.
The White House now sets crypto policy directly, through executive orders, a strategic digital-asset reserve, and a dedicated crypto policy team. This tag tracks the executive actions shaping how agencies treat digital assets, the strategic Bitcoin reserve debate, appointments of crypto-focused officials, and the way administration priorities filter down to the SEC, CFTC, and Treasury. Coinliva covers the orders, the personnel moves, and the market reaction when executive-branch crypto policy shifts.