Wintermute Said 30% in April. The CLARITY Market Just Hit 31%.
Regulators blew the GENIUS Act deadline and CLARITY odds fell to a record 31%. Both halves of crypto's Washington trade slipped in one week.
Regulators blew the GENIUS Act deadline and CLARITY odds fell to a record 31%. Both halves of crypto's Washington trade slipped in one week.
Crypto opened the week green after its worst week since 2024. Strategy resumed buying Bitcoin, SBF filed for a pardon, and MetaMask armed AI agents, with Wednesday's CPI the real test.
A White House adviser said at Bitcoin 2026 Las Vegas that a major Strategic Bitcoin Reserve update is coming in weeks. The Lummis-Begich bill that would lock the reserve into law just got renamed and reintroduced. Polymarket still gives it a 23% chance before 2027.
Polymarket hired Chainalysis on April 30 to build an onchain anomaly detection system, days after a U.S. Green Beret pleaded not guilty to a $400,000 insider bet. A new ACDC report shows military markets win at four times the normal longshot rate.
After four months of stalemate, the Tillis-Alsobrooks compromise text dropped Thursday night. The Senate has until May 21 to do something with it, or the bill goes back on the shelf until 2030.
The venture capital giant filed an 18-page letter telling federal regulators to hold the line. On the other side: a coalition of attorneys general from nearly every state in the country.
BTC is pressing $79K with $630 million in Friday ETF inflows behind it. But liquidity maps are flashing a setup that has burned bulls before.
The sector added $1.08 billion in a single week. Tether lost $271 million of it. USDS gained $503 million. The pecking order is shifting.
The fund is half the size of its 2022 vehicle. The thesis is completely different. Stablecoins, prediction markets, and AI agents replaced the Web3 dream.
Patrick Witt told Consensus Miami the executive branch can take a 'big step forward' without waiting for Congress. But the last time Treasury was asked about buying BTC, the answer was no.
SDNY US Attorney Jay Clayton has pushed back against Roman Storm's attempt to use a 2026 Supreme Court copyright ruling as a defense against the two charges a jury deadlocked on last year. The case is a live contradiction: the same DOJ that issued a memo ending 'regulation by prosecution' on crypto platforms is now pursuing a retrial that could send a developer to prison for 40 years for writing open-source code.
Trump announced a peace deal with Iran. Bitcoin spiked to $77,000, then crashed to $74,300. Spot ETFs lost $2.26 billion in two weeks. Warsh took over the Fed. Clarity Act got delayed. And Arthur Hayes bet $6.3 million that none of it matters for HYPE.
The Senate passed it unanimously on April 3. Ringleaders whose operations kill victims face life in prison. The government has set an April 2026 deadline to shut down every illegal scam compound inside its borders.
FinCEN and OFAC published a joint proposed rule on April 8, 2026 requiring payment stablecoin issuers to build bank-grade compliance programs, with a full enforcement deadline of January 18, 2027.
XRP moved sharply from $1.33 to $1.35 on elevated volume, but consolidation without follow-through raises questions about durability. ETF inflows of $3.32 million were too small to shift price direction at this scale, and $1.36-$1.40 remains a meaningful resistance ceiling.
Ron Hammond, head of policy at crypto market maker Wintermute, is significantly more cautious than prediction markets on the CLARITY Act's 2026 prospects. Bank opposition on stablecoin yield, fluid committee timelines, and Trump-linked political headwinds are his three core concerns.
The US Senate is where crypto’s most important legislation lives or dies, from the CLARITY Act market-structure framework to the GENIUS Act stablecoin rules and the banking-committee fights that shape them. This tag tracks the bills and votes, the committee hearings and testimony from industry executives and regulators, the probes into projects like WLFI, and the individual senators whose positions on digital assets move policy. Coinliva covers what actually passes, what gets dropped, and how the market reacts when a bill clears committee or stalls on the floor.